External Validation of the FLIPI Risk Score Measured at Diagnosis and POD24 Among Individuals With Follicular Lymphoma at the Time of Subsequent Relapse.

BACKGROUND: The Follicular lymphoma international prognostic index (FLIPI) risk score and POD24 have previously been shown to have prognostic value in follicular lymphoma (FL), but the extent to which they can inform prognosis at the time of subsequent relapse is uncertain. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a longitudinal cohort study of individuals diagnosed with FL between 2004 and 2010 in Alberta, Canada who received front-line therapy and subsequently relapsed. FLIPI covariates were measured prior to the initiation of front-line therapy. Median overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS2), and time to next treatment (TTNT2) were estimated from the time of relapse. RESULTS: A total of 216 individuals were included. The FLIPI risk score was highly prognostic at the time of relapse for OS (c-statistic = 0.70; HR[High vs. Low] = 7.38; 95% CI: 3.05-17.88), PFS2 (c-statistic = 0.68; HR[High vs. Low] = 5.84; 95% CI: 2.93-11.62) and TTNT2 (c-statistic = 0.68; HR[High vs. Low] = 5.72; 95% CI: 2.87-11.41). POD24 was not prognostic at the time of relapse for either OS, PFS2, or TTNT2 (c-statistic = 0.55). CONCLUSION: The FLIPI score measured at diagnosis may help with the risk stratification of individuals with relapsed FL.

Understanding Real-World Treatment Patterns and Clinical Outcomes among Metastatic Melanoma Patients in Alberta, Canada.

Immunotherapy and targeted therapies have been shown to considerably improve long-term survival outcomes in metastatic melanoma patients. Real-world evidence on the uptake of novel therapies and outcomes for this patient population in Canada are limited. We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study of all metastatic melanoma patients diagnosed in Alberta, Canada (2015-2018) using electronic medical records and administrative data. Information on BRAF testing for patients diagnosed in 2017 or 2018 was obtained through chart abstraction. In total, 434 metastatic melanoma patients were included, of which 110 (25.3%) were de novo metastatic cases. The median age at diagnosis was 66 years (IQR: 57-76) and 70.0% were men. BRAF testing was completed for the majority of patients (88.7%). Among all patients, 60.4%, 19.1%, and 6.0% initiated first-line, second-line, and third-line systemic therapy. The most common therapies were anti-PD-1 and targeted therapies. The two-year survival probability from first-line therapy, second-line therapy, and third-line therapy was 0.50 (95% CI: 0.44-0.57), 0.26 (95% CI: 0.17-0.40), and 0.14 (95% CI: 0.40-0.46), respectively. In the first-line setting, survival was highest for patients that received ipilimumab or ipilimumab plus nivolumab, while targeted therapy had the highest survival in the second-line setting. This study indicates that novel therapies improve survival in the real world but a considerable proportion of patients do not receive treatment with systemic therapy.

Performance of the fecal immunochemical test for colorectal cancer and advanced neoplasia in individuals under age 50.

The increased demand for colonoscopy combined with increased incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) among younger populations presents a need to determine FIT performance among individuals in this age group. We conducted a systematic review to assess test performance characteristics of FIT in detecting CRC and advanced neoplasia in younger age populations. A search through December 2022 identified published articles assessing the sensitivity and specificity of FIT for advanced neoplasia or CRC among populations under age 50. Following the search, 3 studies were included in the systematic review. Sensitivity to detect advanced neoplasia ranged from 0.19 to 0.36 and specificity between 0.94 and 0.97 and the overall sensitivity and specificity were 0.23 (0.17-0.30) and 0.96 (0.94-0.98), respectively. Two studies that assessed these metrics in multiple age categories found similar sensitivity and specificity across all age groups 30-49. Sensitivity and specificity to detect CRC was assessed in one study and found no significant differences by age groups. These results suggest that FIT performance may be lower for younger individuals compared to those typically screened for CRC. However, there were few studies available for analysis. Given increasing recommendations to expand screening in younger age groups, more research is needed to determine whether FIT is an adequate screening tool in this population.

Understanding real-world treatment patterns and clinical outcomes in AL amyloidosis patients diagnosed in Canada: A population-based cohort study.

Amyloid light chain (AL) amyloidosis is a rare and chronic bone marrow disorder. Existing claims data can be used to help understand the real-world treatment patterns and outcomes of this patient population. Various population-based administrative databases in Alberta, Canada were queried from 2010 to mid-2019 to identify cases of AL amyloidosis. Baseline patient and disease characteristics, sequencing of pharmacologic therapies, overall survival, and healthcare resource utilization were evaluated. A total of 215 individuals with AL amyloidosis were included. Among patients diagnosed between 2012 and 2019, 149 (85.1%) initiated first-line, 67 (38.3%) initiated second-line, 22 (12.6%) initiated third-line, and 11 (6.3%) initiated fourth-line systemic therapy. In the first-line setting, 99/149 (66.4%) received bortezomib, cyclophosphamide, and dexamethasone (CyBorD) and 21/149 (14.1%) received another bortezomib-based regimen. Survival from time of diagnosis improved over time, with a median overall survival of 25.8 months (95% CI: 9.8, 57.1) for individuals diagnosed in 2010-2011 versus 52.1 months (95% CI: 25.6, NA) for those diagnosed in 2012-2019. Despite this improvement, the proportion of individuals diagnosed in 2012-2019 who survived beyond five-years remained low (5-year survival: 48.4%; 95% CI: 40.9, 57.2) which highlights an unmet need for more efficacious therapies.

Prevalence, Treatment Patterns, and Outcomes of Individuals with EGFR Positive Metastatic Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer in a Canadian Real-World Setting: A Comparison of Exon 19 Deletion, L858R, and Exon 20 Insertion EGFR Mutation Carriers.

Real-world evidence surrounding EGFR positive NSCLC patients in Canada is limited. Administrative databases in Alberta, Canada were used to evaluate EGFR testing and mutation prevalence in de novo metastatic NSCLC, as well as the characteristics, treatment patterns, and outcomes of individuals with Exon 19, L858R and Exon20ins mutations. Between 2013-2019, 2974 individuals underwent EGFR testing, of which 451 (15.2%) were EGFR positive. Among EGFR positive individuals, 221 (49.0%) had an Exon 19 mutation, 159 (35.3%) had an L858R mutation, and 18 (4%) had an Exon20ins mutation. The proportion of individuals who initiated 1L systemic therapy was 89.1% for Exon19, 85.5% for L858R, and 72.2% for Exon20ins carriers. The primary front-line systemic therapy was gefitinib or afatinib monotherapy for individuals with Exon 19 (93.4%) and L858R (94.1%) mutations versus platinum combination therapy for individuals with Exon20ins mutations (61.5%). The Exon20ins cohort had worse median overall survival from initiation of 1L systemic therapy (10.5 months [95% CI: 8.0-not estimable]) than the Exon19 (20.6 months [95% CI: 18.4-24.9]), and L858R cohorts (19.1 months [95% CI: 14.5-23.1]). These findings highlight that Exon20ins mutations represent a rare subset of NSCLC in which treatment options are limited and survival outcomes are worse relative to individuals with more common types of EGFR mutations.

Ambient air pollution and inflammatory effects in a Canadian pregnancy cohort.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic studies have consistently reported associations between air pollution and pregnancy outcomes including preeclampsia and gestational diabetes. However, the biologic mechanisms underlying these relationships remain unclear as few studies have collected relevant biomarker data. We examined relationships between ambient PM2.5 and NO2 with markers of inflammation during pregnancy in a prospective cohort of Canadian women. METHODS: We analyzed data from 1170 women enrolled in the Maternal-Infant Research on Environmental Chemicals study. Daily residential PM2.5 and NO2 exposures during pregnancy were estimated using satellite-based and land-use regression models and used to create 14-day and 30-day exposure windows before blood-draw. Inflammatory markers C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, interleukin-8, and tumor necrosis factor-α were measured in third trimester plasma samples. Multivariable linear regression was used to estimate associations for an interquartile range (IQR) increase in PM2.5 and NO2 and markers of inflammation, while adjusting for individual-level confounders. RESULTS: Fourteen-day (IQR: 6.85 µg/m3) and 30-day (IQR: 6.15 µg/m3) average PM2.5 exposures before blood-draw were positively associated with C-reactive protein after adjustment for covariates (24.6% [95% CI = 9.4, 41.9] and 17.4% [95% CI = 1.0, 35.0] increases, respectively). This association was found to be robust in several sensitivity analyses. Neither PM2.5 nor NO2 exposures were associated with interleukin-6, interleukin-8, or tumor necrosis factor-α. CONCLUSION: Exposure to ambient PM2.5 is positively associated with maternal inflammatory pathways in late pregnancy. This may contribute to positive associations between ambient PM2.5 and risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Simulation study on the validity of the average risk approach in estimating population attributable fractions for continuous exposures.

BACKGROUND: The population attributable fraction (PAF) is an important metric for estimating disease burden associated with causal risk factors. In an International Agency for Research on Cancer working group report, an approach was introduced to estimate the PAF using the average of a continuous exposure and the incremental relative risk (RR) per unit. This 'average risk' approach has been subsequently applied in several studies conducted worldwide. However, no investigation of the validity of this method has been done. OBJECTIVE: To examine the validity and the potential magnitude of bias of the average risk approach. METHODS: We established analytically that the direction of the bias is determined by the shape of the RR function. We then used simulation models based on a variety of risk exposure distributions and a range of RR per unit. We estimated the unbiased PAF from integrating the exposure distribution and RR, and the PAF using the average risk approach. We examined the absolute and relative bias as the direct and relative difference in PAF estimated from the two approaches. We also examined the bias of the average risk approach using real-world data from the Canadian Population Attributable Risk of Cancer study. RESULTS: The average risk approach involves bias, which is underestimation or overestimation with a convex or concave RR function (a risk profile that increases more/less rapidly at higher levels of exposure). The magnitude of the bias is affected by the exposure distribution as well as the value of RR. This approach is approximately valid when the RR per unit is small or the RR function is approximately linear. The absolute and relative bias can both be large when RR is not small and the exposure distribution is skewed. CONCLUSIONS: We recommend that caution be taken when using the average risk approach to estimate PAF.

The relationship between colorectal cancer risk factors and LINE-1 DNA methylation in healthy colon tissue.

Aim: LINE-1 DNA methylation is a modifiable epigenetic process linked to colorectal cancer (CRC). However, studies of methylation in the tissue of interest are limited. This research examines associations between CRC risk factors and LINE-1 DNA methylation in healthy colon tissue. Materials & methods: LINE-1 methylation was measured in colon tissue samples from 317 patients undergoing a screening colonoscopy. Associations were examined with established CRC risk factors including alcohol consumption, smoking, BMI, NSAIDs, physical activity and fruit and vegetable consumption. Results: All studied risk factors were not related to LINE-1 DNA methylation in this population. Conclusion: The observed results may reflect that the effect of this set of established risk factors is not mediated through LINE-1 DNA methylation in the healthy colon.

Scoping Review of the Potential Health Effects of Exposure to Extremely Low-Frequency Electric and Magnetic Fields.

Previous studies suggest that extremely low-frequency (ELF) electric and magnetic fields (EMFs) may impact human health. However, epidemiologic studies have provided inconsistent results on the association between exposure to ELF EMFs and various health outcomes. This scoping review reports on primary investigations that were published during the ten-year period of 2007-2017 on the association between ELF EMFs and cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD), reproductive health effects, and neurodegenerative diseases. We identified a total of 361 articles from two bibliographic databases (PubMed and EMBASE). Of these, 39 articles (19 cancer studies, two CVD studies, nine reproductive health studies, and ten neurodegenerative disease studies [with one repeated for two outcomes]) met inclusion criteria. Articles identified in this study focus on three different types of exposure: occupational (22 studies), residential (15 studies), and electric blanket (two studies). This review suggests that ELF EMFs may be associated with neurodegenerative diseases, specifically Alzheimer's disease; however, limited evidence was found to suggest that ELF EMFs are associated with several types of cancer, CVD, and reproductive outcomes. Additional epidemiological studies in large study populations with improved exposure assessments are needed to clarify current inconclusive relationships.

Estimates of the current and future burden of lung cancer attributable to residential radon exposure in Canada.

Radon is widely recognized as a human carcinogen and findings from epidemiologic studies support a causal association between residential radon exposure and lung cancer risk. Our aim was to derive population attributable risks (PAR) to estimate the numbers of incident lung cancer due to residential radon exposure in Canada in 2015. Potential impact fractions for 2042 were estimated based on a series of counterfactuals. A meta-analysis was conducted to estimate the relative risk of lung cancer per 100 Becquerels (Bq)/m3 increase in residential radon exposure, with a pooled estimate of 1.16 (95% CI: 1.07-1.24). The population distribution of annual residential radon exposure was estimated based on a national survey with adjustment for changes in the population distribution over time, the proportion of Canadians living in high-rise buildings, and to reflect annual rather than winter levels. An estimated 6.9% of lung cancer cases in 2015 were attributable to exposure to residential radon, accounting for 1741 attributable cases. If mitigation efforts were to reduce all residential radon exposures that are above current Canadian policy guidelines of 200 Bq/m3 (3% of Canadians) to 50 Bq/m3, 293 cases could be prevented in 2042, and 2322 cumulative cases could be prevented between 2016 and 2042. Our results show that mitigation that exclusively targets Canadian homes with radon exposures above current Canadian guidelines may not greatly alleviate the future projected lung cancer burden. Mitigation of residential radon levels below current guidelines may be required to substantially reduce the overall lung cancer burden in the Canadian population.

The current and future burden of cancer attributable to modifiable risk factors in Canada: Summary of results.

Nearly one in two Canadians are expected to be diagnosed with cancer in their lifetime. However, there are opportunities to reduce the impact of modifiable cancer risk factors through well-informed interventions and policies. Since no comprehensive Canadian estimates have been available previously, we estimated the proportion of cancer diagnosed in 2015 and the future burden in 2042 attributable to lifestyle and environmental factors, and infections. Population-based historical estimates of exposure prevalence and their associated risks for each exposure-cancer site pair were obtained to estimate population attributable risks, assuming the exposures were distributed independently and that the risk estimates were multiplicative. We estimated that between 33 and 37% (up to 70,000 cases) of incident cancer cases among adults aged 30 years and over in 2015 were attributable to preventable risk factors. Similar proportions of cancer cases in males (34%) and females (33%) were attributable to these risk factors. Tobacco smoking and a lack of physical activity were associated with the highest proportions of cancer cases. Cancers with the highest number of preventable cases were lung (20,100), colorectal (9800) and female breast (5300) cancer. If current trends in the prevalence of preventable risk factors continue into the future, we project that by 2042 approximately 102,000 incident cancer cases are expected to be attributable to these risk factors per year, which would account for roughly one-third of all incident cancers. Through various risk reduction interventions, policies and public health campaigns, an estimated 10,600 to 39,700 cancer cases per year could be prevented by 2042.

Estimates of the current and future burden of lung cancer attributable to PM2.5 in Canada.

The International Agency for Research on Cancer has classified PM2.5 (fine particulate matter, PM2.5) as a lung cancer carcinogen in humans. We estimated the proportion of lung cancer cases attributable to PM2.5 exposure in Canada in 2015, and future avoidable cancers over the period 2016-2042 under different future exposure scenarios. A meta-analysis was conducted to estimate the relative risk of lung cancer associated with PM2.5 that was generalizable to Canada. A population-weighted Canadian distribution of residential PM2.5 exposure was estimated annually using ecological-level, satellite-derived PM2.5 data for the period 1990 to 2009. Population attributable risks (PAR) were estimated for PM2.5 and applied to lung cancer incidence from the Canadian Cancer Registry. Potential impact fractions based on counterfactual scenarios for the year 2042 were estimated, along with cumulative preventable cases from 2016 to 2042. The relative risk of lung cancer associated with PM2.5 was 1.09 (95% CI: 1.06-1.12) per an increase of 10 µg/m3. The average population-weighted exposure to PM2.5 corresponding to a 20-year exposure window from 1990 to 2009 was 8.3 µg/m3. The PAR for PM2.5 was estimated at 6.9%, accounting for 1739 attributable lung cancer cases in 2015. If patterns of decline in PM2.5 continue, over 3000 lung cancer cases could be prevented between 2016 and 2042. Exposure to PM2.5 contributes to a considerable burden of lung cancer in Canada and policies aimed at sustaining outdoor PM2.5 declines are important for lung cancer prevention in Canada.

The effect of inflammation-related lifestyle exposures and interactions with gene variants on long interspersed nuclear element-1 DNA methylation.

AIM: To examine the relationship between inflammation-related lifestyle factors and long interspersed nuclear element-1 (LINE-1) DNA methylation, and test for interaction by gene variants involved in one-carbon metabolism. PATIENTS & METHODS: The study population consisted of 280 individuals undergoing colonoscopy screening. Multivariable linear regression was employed to examine associations of physical activity, BMI and NSAID use with LINE-1 DNA methylation and interactions with MTR and MTHFR gene variants. RESULTS: The highest quartile of physical activity compared with the lowest was associated with higher LINE-1 DNA methylation (p = 0.005). Long-term NSAID use and a normal BMI were associated with increased LINE-1 DNA methylation among individuals with the variant MTR allele (p = 0.02; p = 0.03). CONCLUSION: This study provides evidence that inflammation-related exposures may influence LINE-1 DNA methylation.